Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.003128 0.003428 0.003748 0.004115 0.004526 0.004971 0.005493
2026-01-04 0.002640 0.003065 0.003550 0.004149 0.004870 0.005716 0.006792
2026-01-11 0.002313 0.002789 0.003359 0.004095 0.005030 0.006190 0.007753
2026-01-18 0.002083 0.002589 0.003216 0.004058 0.005174 0.006622 0.008674
2026-01-25 0.001897 0.002418 0.003082 0.004005 0.005274 0.006985 0.009519
2026-02-01 0.001769 0.002305 0.003008 0.004015 0.005445 0.007446 0.010536
2026-02-08 0.001639 0.002178 0.002901 0.003964 0.005519 0.007767 0.011369
2026-02-15 0.001519 0.002053 0.002785 0.003886 0.005541 0.008006 0.012094
2026-02-22 0.001444 0.001984 0.002741 0.003906 0.005704 0.008464 0.013204
2026-03-01 0.001399 0.001956 0.002751 0.004003 0.005989 0.009131 0.014726
2026-03-08 0.001316 0.001865 0.002662 0.003942 0.006017 0.009385 0.015568
2026-03-15 0.001237 0.001775 0.002568 0.003864 0.006009 0.009576 0.016314
2026-03-22 0.001170 0.001701 0.002498 0.003826 0.006075 0.009915 0.017408
2026-03-29 0.001123 0.001657 0.002472 0.003857 0.006262 0.010486 0.019023
2026-04-05 0.001063 0.001588 0.002401 0.003808 0.006304 0.010799 0.020171
2026-04-12 0.001012 0.001529 0.002342 0.003774 0.006368 0.011155 0.021452
2026-04-19 0.000962 0.001469 0.002278 0.003726 0.006399 0.011450 0.022639
2026-04-26 0.000927 0.001431 0.002248 0.003734 0.006536 0.011963 0.024369
2026-05-03 0.000884 0.001378 0.002189 0.003687 0.006562 0.012255 0.025644
2026-05-10 0.000840 0.001322 0.002120 0.003616 0.006535 0.012434 0.026679
2026-05-17 0.000814 0.001294 0.002101 0.003635 0.006685 0.012997 0.028716
2026-05-24 0.000802 0.001289 0.002118 0.003724 0.006985 0.013913 0.031776
2026-05-31 0.000767 0.001243 0.002062 0.003667 0.006980 0.014155 0.033143